Le think tank allemand Institut allemand des affaires internationales et de sécurité (SWP) , proche du gouvernement fédéral, publie une analyse critique visant les Émirats arabes unis, qu’il accuse d’interventions controversées en Afrique, notamment de soutien à des groupes armés et de perturbation de processus de paix. Ce rapport, destiné directement aux décideurs allemands et européens, marque une prise de conscience politique à Berlin et suggère un durcissement de l’approche envers les Émirats. En voici un résumé:
The United Arab Emirates has emerged as one of the most aggressive external actors in African conflicts, particularly in Sudan, Libya, Ethiopia, and Somalia. While officially denying involvement, the UAE is the primary military, logistical, and financial backer of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan—whose actions in Darfur have been described as bearing the hallmarks of genocide. Beyond Sudan, the UAE supports Khalifa Haftar’s forces in Libya, the Ethiopian government, and various paramilitary groups in Somalia.
The UAE’s toolkit includes advanced drones, mercenaries (including Colombians), and a transnational logistics network spanning Chad, Libya, Ethiopia, and Yemen. Its motives range from securing economic corridors and port projects to countering regional rivals like Saudi Arabia and Iran, as well as opposing Islamist movements.
The consequences are severe: the Sudan war has created the world’s largest humanitarian crisis, fueled forced displacement (including rising refugee flows to Europe), entrenched war economies, and undermined multilateral arms embargoes. The UAE participates in peace processes while intensifying support for belligerents, effectively acting as a spoiler.
Key Takeaways for Europe:
- The UAE is not a constructive partner but a destabilizer.
- Germany and the EU should: (1) publicly name the UAE’s role, (2) consider sanctions and arms export reviews, (3) enforce anti-money-laundering rules, and (4) reassess strategic partnerships.
- Tensions between the UAE and Saudi Arabia, plus the Iran war, create a rare opening for Western pressure.
Bottom line: Without tangible consequences, the UAE will continue to fuel conflict, undermine European interests in stability and migration, and erode multilateral order in Africa.
Source : SWP
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